Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Estadio La Portada

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Universidad de Chile Win

22%

D. La Serena

4.61

23%

Draw

4.31

55%

Universidad de Chile

1.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

D. La Serena xG

Total xG

2.82

1.79

Universidad de Chile xG

22%
23%
55%
D. La SerenaDrawUniversidad de Chile

4.61

22%

Home win

4.31

23%

Draw

1.82

55%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

17%

D. La Serena

5.97

36%

Universidad de Chile

2.81

Win to Nil

4%

D. La Serena

27.51

20%

Universidad de Chile

5.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 10.7 9.5 5.7 2.5 0.9
1 6.2 11.0 9.8 5.9 2.6 0.9
2 3.2 5.7 5.1 3.0 1.4 0.5
3 1.1 2.0 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.032
λ Away (xG) 1.787
Total xG 2.819
League avg home goals 1.496
League avg away goals 1.125
D. La Serena attack strength 0.801
D. La Serena defence strength 1.425
Universidad de Chile attack strength 1.114
Universidad de Chile defence strength 0.862
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 51