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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

Estadio La Portada

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union La Calera Win

31%

D. La Serena

3.22

31%

Draw

3.20

38%

Union La Calera

2.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.7%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.98

D. La Serena xG

Total xG

2.10

1.11

Union La Calera xG

31%
31%
38%
D. La SerenaDrawUnion La Calera

3.22

31%

Home win

3.20

31%

Draw

2.65

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.34

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

33%

D. La Serena

3.05

37%

Union La Calera

2.68

Win to Nil

10%

D. La Serena

9.82

14%

Union La Calera

7.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.3 13.7 7.6 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 12.1 13.4 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 5.9 6.6 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 1.9 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.984
λ Away (xG) 1.115
Total xG 2.099
League avg home goals 1.505
League avg away goals 1.139
D. La Serena attack strength 0.785
D. La Serena defence strength 1.178
Union La Calera attack strength 0.831
Union La Calera defence strength 0.833
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 4 / 34