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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

Estadio La Portada

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

D. La Serena Win

42%

D. La Serena

2.38

24%

Draw

4.11

34%

Union Espanola

2.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

D. La Serena xG

Total xG

2.97

1.39

Union Espanola xG

42%
24%
34%
D. La SerenaDrawUnion Espanola

2.38

42%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

2.97

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.47

Clean Sheet

25%

D. La Serena

4.01

21%

Union Espanola

4.84

Win to Nil

10%

D. La Serena

9.56

7%

Union Espanola

14.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 7.2 5.0 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 8.1 11.3 7.8 3.6 1.3 0.4
2 6.4 8.9 6.2 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 3.4 4.7 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.577
λ Away (xG) 1.390
Total xG 2.967
League avg home goals 1.631
League avg away goals 1.147
D. La Serena attack strength 0.836
D. La Serena defence strength 1.345
Union Espanola attack strength 0.900
Union Espanola defence strength 1.157
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 2 / 32