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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 8 Nov 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio La Portada

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

D. La Serena Win

47%

D. La Serena

2.15

24%

Draw

4.20

30%

Palestino

3.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

D. La Serena xG

Total xG

3.01

1.31

Palestino xG

47%
24%
30%
D. La SerenaDrawPalestino

2.15

47%

Home win

4.20

24%

Draw

3.37

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

27%

D. La Serena

3.71

18%

Palestino

5.45

Win to Nil

13%

D. La Serena

7.96

5%

Palestino

18.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 6.5 4.2 1.9 0.6 0.2
1 8.4 11.0 7.2 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.3 6.1 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.0 5.3 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.7 2.2 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.696
λ Away (xG) 1.310
Total xG 3.006
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
D. La Serena attack strength 1.044
D. La Serena defence strength 1.032
Palestino attack strength 1.060
Palestino defence strength 1.010
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45