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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 29 Nov 2025

21:00

Venue

Estadio La Portada

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palestino Win

32%

D. La Serena

3.14

27%

Draw

3.68

41%

Palestino

2.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

D. La Serena xG

Total xG

2.45

1.32

Palestino xG

32%
27%
41%
D. La SerenaDrawPalestino

3.14

32%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

2.44

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

27%

D. La Serena

3.74

32%

Palestino

3.09

Win to Nil

9%

D. La Serena

11.75

13%

Palestino

7.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 11.4 7.5 3.3 1.1 0.3
1 9.8 12.9 8.5 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 5.5 7.3 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.1 2.7 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.128
λ Away (xG) 1.319
Total xG 2.447
League avg home goals 1.492
League avg away goals 1.120
D. La Serena attack strength 0.777
D. La Serena defence strength 1.177
Palestino attack strength 1.001
Palestino defence strength 0.974
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 58