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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 6 Sep 2026

05:00

Venue

Estadio La Portada

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

D. La Serena Win

47%

D. La Serena

2.11

24%

Draw

4.10

28%

Nublense

3.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.64

D. La Serena xG

Total xG

2.85

1.21

Nublense xG

47%
24%
28%
D. La SerenaDrawNublense

2.11

47%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

3.53

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

30%

D. La Serena

3.36

19%

Nublense

5.14

Win to Nil

14%

D. La Serena

7.11

6%

Nublense

18.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 7.0 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 9.5 11.5 7.0 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.8 9.4 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.2 5.1 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.7 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.2
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.637
λ Away (xG) 1.212
Total xG 2.849
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
D. La Serena attack strength 1.044
D. La Serena defence strength 1.032
Nublense attack strength 0.981
Nublense defence strength 0.974
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45