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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

Estadio La Portada

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nublense Win

28%

D. La Serena

3.61

27%

Draw

3.68

45%

Nublense

2.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.6%

Away win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

D. La Serena xG

Total xG

2.39

1.38

Nublense xG

28%
27%
45%
D. La SerenaDrawNublense

3.61

28%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

2.22

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

25%

D. La Serena

3.96

36%

Nublense

2.76

Win to Nil

7%

D. La Serena

14.26

16%

Nublense

6.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 12.6 8.7 4.0 1.4 0.4
1 9.3 12.8 8.8 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 4.7 6.5 4.5 2.0 0.7 0.2
3 1.6 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.015
λ Away (xG) 1.375
Total xG 2.390
League avg home goals 1.561
League avg away goals 1.155
D. La Serena attack strength 0.780
D. La Serena defence strength 1.309
Nublense attack strength 0.909
Nublense defence strength 0.834
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 53