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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Tue 20 May 2025

01:30

Venue

Estadio La Portada

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

D. La Serena Win

46%

D. La Serena

2.15

26%

Draw

3.86

28%

Deportes Iquique

3.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

D. La Serena xG

Total xG

2.58

1.09

Deportes Iquique xG

46%
26%
28%
D. La SerenaDrawDeportes Iquique

2.15

46%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

3.62

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

34%

D. La Serena

2.97

23%

Deportes Iquique

4.44

Win to Nil

16%

D. La Serena

6.39

6%

Deportes Iquique

16.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 8.3 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 11.3 12.3 6.7 2.4 0.7 0.1
2 8.4 9.2 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.2 4.6 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.491
λ Away (xG) 1.088
Total xG 2.579
League avg home goals 1.530
League avg away goals 0.947
D. La Serena attack strength 0.845
D. La Serena defence strength 1.101
Deportes Iquique attack strength 1.043
Deportes Iquique defence strength 1.153
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 10 / 39