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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 14 Feb 2026

15:00

Venue

La Portada

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

D. La Serena Win

37%

D. La Serena

2.71

28%

Draw

3.60

35%

Coquimbo Unido

2.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

D. La Serena xG

Total xG

2.38

1.17

Coquimbo Unido xG

37%
28%
35%
D. La SerenaDrawCoquimbo Unido

2.71

37%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

2.83

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

31%

D. La Serena

3.23

30%

Coquimbo Unido

3.34

Win to Nil

11%

D. La Serena

8.78

11%

Coquimbo Unido

9.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 10.9 6.4 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 11.2 13.1 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 6.7 7.9 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.7 3.2 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.205
λ Away (xG) 1.174
Total xG 2.379
League avg home goals 1.501
League avg away goals 0.978
D. La Serena attack strength 0.972
D. La Serena defence strength 1.230
Coquimbo Unido attack strength 0.977
Coquimbo Unido defence strength 0.825
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 32 / 32