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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Colo Colo cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over D. La Serena.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Colo Colo beat D. La Serena 1-3 at Estadio La Portada, Regular Season - 1, in the Primera División. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting D. La Serena 1.15 xG and Colo Colo 1.41 xG, a combined 2.56. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Colo Colo outscored their 1.41 projection by 1.6. Those figures were built on strength ratings of D. La Serena attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against Colo Colo attack 1.06 / defence 0.85, drawn from 0/30 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it D. La Serena 31% | Draw 26% | Colo Colo 43%, with Colo Colo to win its most likely call at 43%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 73% and landed. Over 3.5 was 26% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights