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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 23 Aug 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio La Portada

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

D. La Serena Win

62%

D. La Serena

1.60

20%

Draw

5.06

18%

Cobresal

5.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.1%

Home win

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.19

D. La Serena xG

Total xG

3.28

1.09

Cobresal xG

62%
20%
18%
D. La SerenaDrawCobresal

1.60

62%

Home win

5.06

20%

Draw

5.61

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.43

Clean Sheet

34%

D. La Serena

2.97

11%

Cobresal

8.94

Win to Nil

21%

D. La Serena

4.75

2%

Cobresal

50.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 4.1 2.2 0.8 0.2
1 8.3 9.0 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 9.1 9.8 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 6.6 7.2 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 3.6 3.9 2.1 0.8 0.2
5 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.190
λ Away (xG) 1.087
Total xG 3.277
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
D. La Serena attack strength 1.044
D. La Serena defence strength 1.031
Cobresal attack strength 0.880
Cobresal defence strength 1.304
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45