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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 26 Jul 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio La Portada

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

D. La Serena Win

42%

D. La Serena

2.39

25%

Draw

3.96

33%

Cobresal

3.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

D. La Serena xG

Total xG

2.78

1.29

Cobresal xG

42%
25%
33%
D. La SerenaDrawCobresal

2.39

42%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

3.03

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

27%

D. La Serena

3.65

23%

Cobresal

4.42

Win to Nil

11%

D. La Serena

8.73

7%

Cobresal

13.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 8.0 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.2 11.9 7.7 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 8.9 5.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.4 4.4 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.487
λ Away (xG) 1.294
Total xG 2.781
League avg home goals 1.521
League avg away goals 1.051
D. La Serena attack strength 0.890
D. La Serena defence strength 1.293
Cobresal attack strength 0.952
Cobresal defence strength 1.098
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 45