Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

15:00

Venue

Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Coquimbo Unido Win

72%

Coquimbo Unido

1.38

17%

Draw

5.85

11%

Concepción

9.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

3 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.32

Coquimbo Unido xG

Total xG

3.08

0.76

Concepción xG

72%
17%
Coquimbo UnidoDrawConcepción

1.38

72%

Home win

5.85

17%

Draw

9.46

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

47%

Coquimbo Unido

2.14

10%

Concepción

10.15

Win to Nil

34%

Coquimbo Unido

2.96

1%

Concepción

95.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 10.7 8.1 3.1 0.8 0.1
2 12.4 9.4 3.6 0.9 0.2
3 9.6 7.3 2.8 0.7 0.1
4 5.5 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
5 2.6 1.9 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.317
λ Away (xG) 0.760
Total xG 3.077
League avg home goals 1.449
League avg away goals 0.961
Coquimbo Unido attack strength 1.276
Coquimbo Unido defence strength 0.977
Concepción attack strength 0.810
Concepción defence strength 1.253
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 4