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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 16 May 2026

01:00

Venue

Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Coquimbo Unido Win

52%

Coquimbo Unido

1.91

23%

Draw

4.28

24%

A. Italiano

4.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Coquimbo Unido xG

Total xG

2.91

1.13

A. Italiano xG

52%
23%
24%
Coquimbo UnidoDrawA. Italiano

1.91

52%

Home win

4.28

23%

Draw

4.13

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

32%

Coquimbo Unido

3.10

17%

A. Italiano

5.89

Win to Nil

17%

Coquimbo Unido

5.91

4%

A. Italiano

24.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 6.2 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 9.7 11.0 6.2 2.3 0.7 0.1
2 8.6 9.7 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 5.1 5.8 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.3 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.2
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.774
λ Away (xG) 1.131
Total xG 2.905
League avg home goals 1.545
League avg away goals 1.116
Coquimbo Unido attack strength 1.008
Coquimbo Unido defence strength 1.073
A. Italiano attack strength 0.945
A. Italiano defence strength 1.139
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41