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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Fri 6 Mar 2026

23:30

Venue

Municipal de Collao

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nublense Win

31%

Concepción

3.26

30%

Draw

3.33

39%

Nublense

2.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.1%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

12.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Concepción xG

Total xG

2.08

1.12

Nublense xG

31%
30%
39%
ConcepciónDrawNublense

3.26

31%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

2.55

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.41

59%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

33%

Concepción

3.07

38%

Nublense

2.60

Win to Nil

10%

Concepción

10.00

15%

Nublense

6.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5 14.1 7.9 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 12.0 13.4 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 5.7 6.4 3.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 1.8 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.955
λ Away (xG) 1.122
Total xG 2.077
League avg home goals 1.449
League avg away goals 1.012
Concepción attack strength 0.793
Concepción defence strength 1.132
Nublense attack strength 0.979
Nublense defence strength 0.831
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 5 / 35