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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sun 19 Apr 2026

01:00

Venue

Estadio Ester Roa

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

D. La Serena Win

34%

Concepción

2.90

29%

Draw

3.41

36%

D. La Serena

2.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.5%

Away win

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Concepción xG

Total xG

2.18

1.11

D. La Serena xG

34%
29%
36%
ConcepciónDrawD. La Serena

2.90

34%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

2.76

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

33%

Concepción

3.03

34%

D. La Serena

2.92

Win to Nil

11%

Concepción

8.77

12%

D. La Serena

8.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3 12.5 6.9 2.6 0.7 0.2
1 12.1 13.4 7.4 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 6.5 7.2 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.3 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.073
λ Away (xG) 1.107
Total xG 2.180
League avg home goals 1.582
League avg away goals 1.025
Concepción attack strength 0.608
Concepción defence strength 1.201
D. La Serena attack strength 0.899
D. La Serena defence strength 1.115
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 9 / 39