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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 15 Feb 2026

23:30

Venue

Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Colo Colo Win

58%

Colo Colo

1.72

23%

Draw

4.37

19%

Union La Calera

5.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

2 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Colo Colo xG

Total xG

2.72

0.92

Union La Calera xG

58%
23%
19%
Colo ColoDrawUnion La Calera

1.72

58%

Home win

4.37

23%

Draw

5.32

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

40%

Colo Colo

2.50

16%

Union La Calera

6.07

Win to Nil

23%

Colo Colo

4.29

3%

Union La Calera

32.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 6.0 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 11.9 10.9 5.0 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.7 9.8 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.4 5.9 2.7 0.8 0.2
4 2.9 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.804
λ Away (xG) 0.916
Total xG 2.720
League avg home goals 1.521
League avg away goals 0.981
Colo Colo attack strength 1.189
Colo Colo defence strength 0.972
Union La Calera attack strength 0.960
Union La Calera defence strength 0.997
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 32 / 32