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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 23 Nov 2025

23:30

Venue

Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Colo Colo Win

59%

Colo Colo

1.69

22%

Draw

4.65

19%

Union La Calera

5.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.97

Colo Colo xG

Total xG

3.01

1.03

Union La Calera xG

59%
22%
19%
Colo ColoDrawUnion La Calera

1.69

59%

Home win

4.65

22%

Draw

5.18

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.80

45%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

36%

Colo Colo

2.81

14%

Union La Calera

7.19

Win to Nil

21%

Colo Colo

4.75

3%

Union La Calera

37.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 5.1 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 9.8 10.1 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.9 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.3 6.5 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 3.1 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.1
5 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.973
λ Away (xG) 1.034
Total xG 3.007
League avg home goals 1.484
League avg away goals 1.149
Colo Colo attack strength 1.212
Colo Colo defence strength 1.044
Union La Calera attack strength 0.862
Union La Calera defence strength 1.097
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57