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Primera División · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 16 Aug 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Colo Colo Win

59%

Colo Colo

1.69

21%

Draw

4.74

20%

O'Higgins

5.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

2 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.03

Colo Colo xG

Total xG

3.11

1.08

O'Higgins xG

59%
21%
20%
Colo ColoDrawO'Higgins

1.69

59%

Home win

4.74

21%

Draw

5.11

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

34%

Colo Colo

2.95

13%

O'Higgins

7.62

Win to Nil

20%

Colo Colo

4.97

3%

O'Higgins

38.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 4.8 2.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 9.0 9.8 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.2 9.9 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 6.2 6.7 3.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 3.2 3.4 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.031
λ Away (xG) 1.081
Total xG 3.112
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Colo Colo attack strength 1.298
Colo Colo defence strength 0.849
O'Higgins attack strength 1.062
O'Higgins defence strength 0.972
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45