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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Colo Colo cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Everton de Vina.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Colo Colo beat Everton de Vina 2-0 at Estadio Monumental David Arellano, Regular Season - 4, in the Primera División. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Colo Colo 1.62 xG and Everton de Vina 0.99 xG, a combined 2.60. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Everton de Vina landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Colo Colo attack 0.90 / defence 0.88 against Everton de Vina attack 0.97 / defence 1.19, drawn from 33/33 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Colo Colo 52% | Draw 25% | Everton de Vina 23%, with Colo Colo to win its most likely call at 52%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 48%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 73% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 47% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Colo Colo 43%, Everton de Vina 50%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Colo Colo's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 43% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 43% of the time, and duly kept one.

Everton de Vina's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Colo Colo arrived the stronger side — 2.02 PPG against 1.50. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Everton de Vina (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.67 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights