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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Colo Colo cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Coquimbo Unido.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Colo Colo beat Coquimbo Unido 2-0 at Estadio Monumental David Arellano, Regular Season - 9, in the Primera División. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Colo Colo 0.97 xG and Coquimbo Unido 0.83 xG, a combined 1.80. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Colo Colo beat their projection by 1.0 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Coquimbo Unido landed 0.8 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Colo Colo attack 0.92 / defence 0.90 against Coquimbo Unido attack 1.00 / defence 0.69, drawn from 35/38 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Colo Colo 37% | Draw 34% | Coquimbo Unido 29%, with Colo Colo to win its most likely call at 37%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 27%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 54% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 36% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 48% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Colo Colo 43%, Coquimbo Unido 52%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Colo Colo's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 43% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 43% of the time, and duly kept one.

Coquimbo Unido's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 25% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Colo Colo arrived the stronger side — 2.02 PPG against 1.58. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Coquimbo Unido (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.27 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights