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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Fri 27 Feb 2026

21:00

Venue

El Cobre

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cobresal Win

57%

Cobresal

1.77

25%

Draw

4.07

19%

D. La Serena

5.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.64

Cobresal xG

Total xG

2.47

0.83

D. La Serena xG

57%
25%
19%
CobresalDrawD. La Serena

1.77

57%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

5.31

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.20

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

44%

Cobresal

2.29

19%

D. La Serena

5.16

Win to Nil

25%

Cobresal

4.05

4%

D. La Serena

27.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 7.0 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 13.9 11.5 4.8 1.3 0.3
2 11.4 9.4 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 6.2 5.2 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.6 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.1
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.640
λ Away (xG) 0.829
Total xG 2.469
League avg home goals 1.451
League avg away goals 0.974
Cobresal attack strength 1.155
Cobresal defence strength 0.969
D. La Serena attack strength 0.878
D. La Serena defence strength 0.979
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34