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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 23 Aug 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

A. Italiano Win

53%

A. Italiano

1.87

25%

Draw

4.08

22%

Union La Calera

4.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

A. Italiano xG

Total xG

2.61

0.96

Union La Calera xG

53%
25%
22%
A. ItalianoDrawUnion La Calera

1.87

53%

Home win

4.08

25%

Draw

4.54

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

38%

A. Italiano

2.62

19%

Union La Calera

5.20

Win to Nil

20%

A. Italiano

4.91

4%

Union La Calera

23.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 7.1 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 12.1 11.7 5.6 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.6 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.5 5.3 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.3 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.649
λ Away (xG) 0.964
Total xG 2.613
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
A. Italiano attack strength 1.002
A. Italiano defence strength 1.014
Union La Calera attack strength 0.794
Union La Calera defence strength 1.023
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45