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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

23:00

Venue

Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

A. Italiano Win

50%

A. Italiano

2.00

28%

Draw

3.63

22%

Union Espanola

4.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

A. Italiano xG

Total xG

2.81

1.09

Union Espanola xG

50%
28%
22%
A. ItalianoDrawUnion Espanola

2.00

50%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

4.45

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

33%

A. Italiano

2.99

18%

Union Espanola

5.55

Win to Nil

17%

A. Italiano

5.97

4%

Union Espanola

24.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 6.6 3.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 10.3 11.3 6.2 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.7 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.1 5.5 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.713
λ Away (xG) 1.095
Total xG 2.808
League avg home goals 1.523
League avg away goals 1.009
A. Italiano attack strength 1.136
A. Italiano defence strength 0.994
Union Espanola attack strength 1.091
Union Espanola defence strength 0.990
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 36