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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

22:30

Venue

Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

A. Italiano Win

54%

A. Italiano

1.87

25%

Draw

4.04

22%

U. Catolica

4.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

A. Italiano xG

Total xG

2.57

0.94

U. Catolica xG

54%
25%
22%
A. ItalianoDrawU. Catolica

1.87

54%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

4.60

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

39%

A. Italiano

2.56

20%

U. Catolica

5.10

Win to Nil

21%

A. Italiano

4.78

4%

U. Catolica

23.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 7.2 3.4 1.1 0.2
1 12.5 11.7 5.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.6 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.5 5.2 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 2.2 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.629
λ Away (xG) 0.940
Total xG 2.569
League avg home goals 1.605
League avg away goals 1.069
A. Italiano attack strength 1.037
A. Italiano defence strength 0.794
U. Catolica attack strength 1.108
U. Catolica defence strength 0.979
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38