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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

01:30

Venue

Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

A. Italiano Win

48%

A. Italiano

2.10

23%

Draw

4.40

30%

Deportes Limache

3.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

7.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.83

A. Italiano xG

Total xG

3.25

1.41

Deportes Limache xG

48%
23%
30%
A. ItalianoDrawDeportes Limache

2.10

48%

Home win

4.40

23%

Draw

3.37

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.74

Clean Sheet

24%

A. Italiano

4.10

16%

Deportes Limache

6.27

Win to Nil

12%

A. Italiano

8.60

5%

Deportes Limache

21.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 5.5 3.9 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 7.2 10.1 7.1 3.3 1.2 0.3
2 6.6 9.3 6.5 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 4.0 5.7 4.0 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.8 2.6 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.835
λ Away (xG) 1.410
Total xG 3.245
League avg home goals 1.544
League avg away goals 1.122
A. Italiano attack strength 1.171
A. Italiano defence strength 1.078
Deportes Limache attack strength 1.165
Deportes Limache defence strength 1.014
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40