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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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A. Italiano cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Deportes Limache.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

A. Italiano beat Deportes Limache 3-1 at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida, Regular Season - 4, in the Primera División. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting A. Italiano 2.03 xG and Deportes Limache 1.07 xG, a combined 3.11. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. A. Italiano beat their projection by 1.0 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of A. Italiano attack 1.24 / defence 1.12 against Deportes Limache attack 0.85 / defence 1.08, drawn from 33/3 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it A. Italiano 60% | Draw 21% | Deportes Limache 19%, with A. Italiano to win its most likely call at 60%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 60%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 82% and landed. Over 3.5 was 38% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights