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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Fri 21 Feb 2025

21:00

Venue

Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

A. Italiano Win

51%

A. Italiano

1.96

24%

Draw

4.10

25%

Deportes Iquique

4.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

A. Italiano xG

Total xG

2.83

1.11

Deportes Iquique xG

51%
24%
25%
A. ItalianoDrawDeportes Iquique

1.96

51%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

4.07

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

33%

A. Italiano

3.05

18%

Deportes Iquique

5.53

Win to Nil

17%

A. Italiano

5.97

4%

Deportes Iquique

22.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 6.6 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 10.1 11.3 6.3 2.3 0.7 0.1
2 8.7 9.7 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.9 5.5 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.1 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.710
λ Away (xG) 1.115
Total xG 2.825
League avg home goals 1.644
League avg away goals 1.146
A. Italiano attack strength 0.984
A. Italiano defence strength 0.999
Deportes Iquique attack strength 0.974
Deportes Iquique defence strength 1.057
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 31 / 31