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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

22:30

Venue

Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Coquimbo Unido Win

31%

A. Italiano

3.25

26%

Draw

3.84

43%

Coquimbo Unido

2.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

A. Italiano xG

Total xG

2.61

1.44

Coquimbo Unido xG

31%
26%
43%
A. ItalianoDrawCoquimbo Unido

3.25

31%

Home win

3.84

26%

Draw

2.32

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

24%

A. Italiano

4.21

31%

Coquimbo Unido

3.23

Win to Nil

7%

A. Italiano

13.68

13%

Coquimbo Unido

7.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 10.6 7.6 3.6 1.3 0.4
1 8.6 12.4 8.9 4.3 1.5 0.4
2 5.1 7.3 5.2 2.5 0.9 0.3
3 2.0 2.8 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.173
λ Away (xG) 1.438
Total xG 2.611
League avg home goals 1.491
League avg away goals 1.095
A. Italiano attack strength 1.115
A. Italiano defence strength 1.007
Coquimbo Unido attack strength 1.304
Coquimbo Unido defence strength 0.706
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50