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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Fri 13 Mar 2026

23:00

Venue

Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

A. Italiano Win

57%

A. Italiano

1.74

26%

Draw

3.88

17%

Concepción

5.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.6%

Home win

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

A. Italiano xG

Total xG

2.23

0.70

Concepción xG

57%
26%
17%
A. ItalianoDrawConcepción

1.74

57%

Home win

3.88

26%

Draw

5.90

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.54

61%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

50%

A. Italiano

2.01

22%

Concepción

4.62

Win to Nil

29%

A. Italiano

3.50

4%

Concepción

27.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8 7.5 2.6 0.6 0.1
1 16.5 11.5 4.0 0.9 0.2
2 12.6 8.8 3.1 0.7 0.1
3 6.4 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 2.5 1.7 0.6 0.1
5 0.8 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.530
λ Away (xG) 0.697
Total xG 2.227
League avg home goals 1.406
League avg away goals 1.039
A. Italiano attack strength 0.999
A. Italiano defence strength 0.829
Concepción attack strength 0.810
Concepción defence strength 1.090
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 6