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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 22 Jun 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

A. Italiano Win

48%

A. Italiano

2.10

24%

Draw

4.16

28%

Colo Colo

3.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

A. Italiano xG

Total xG

2.91

1.24

Colo Colo xG

48%
24%
28%
A. ItalianoDrawColo Colo

2.10

48%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

3.54

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

29%

A. Italiano

3.45

19%

Colo Colo

5.35

Win to Nil

14%

A. Italiano

7.22

5%

Colo Colo

18.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 6.7 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 9.1 11.3 7.0 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.6 9.4 5.8 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.3 5.3 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.8 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.677
λ Away (xG) 1.237
Total xG 2.914
League avg home goals 1.537
League avg away goals 1.053
A. Italiano attack strength 1.200
A. Italiano defence strength 1.107
Colo Colo attack strength 1.061
Colo Colo defence strength 0.909
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 42