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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 30 Aug 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Ester Roa

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Universidad de Chile Win

31%

Universidad de Concepcion

3.24

33%

Draw

3.06

36%

Universidad de Chile

2.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

15.6%

Away win

1 – 0

13.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.85

Universidad de Concepcion xG

Total xG

1.81

0.96

Universidad de Chile xG

31%
33%
36%
Universidad de ConcepcionDrawUniversidad de Chile

3.24

31%

Home win

3.06

33%

Draw

2.74

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.82

65%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

38%

Universidad de Concepcion

2.61

43%

Universidad de Chile

2.35

Win to Nil

12%

Universidad de Concepcion

8.46

16%

Universidad de Chile

6.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.3 15.6 7.5 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 13.9 13.4 6.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 6.0 5.7 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 1.7 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.855
λ Away (xG) 0.959
Total xG 1.814
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Universidad de Concepcion attack strength 0.674
Universidad de Concepcion defence strength 0.971
Universidad de Chile attack strength 0.824
Universidad de Chile defence strength 0.788
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 45