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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sat 30 May 2026

01:30

Venue

Municipal de Collao

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Universidad de Concepcion Win

43%

Universidad de Concepcion

2.31

27%

Draw

3.65

29%

Union La Calera

3.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Universidad de Concepcion xG

Total xG

2.38

1.05

Union La Calera xG

43%
27%
29%
Universidad de ConcepcionDrawUnion La Calera

2.31

43%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

3.42

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

35%

Universidad de Concepcion

2.85

26%

Union La Calera

3.82

Win to Nil

15%

Universidad de Concepcion

6.56

8%

Union La Calera

13.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 9.6 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 12.3 12.9 6.7 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 8.3 8.6 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.7 3.9 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.339
λ Away (xG) 1.046
Total xG 2.385
League avg home goals 1.611
League avg away goals 1.131
Universidad de Concepcion attack strength 0.750
Universidad de Concepcion defence strength 1.070
Union La Calera attack strength 0.865
Union La Calera defence strength 1.108
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 13 / 43