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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 16 Aug 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Ester Roa

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Universidad de Concepcion Win

42%

Universidad de Concepcion

2.38

27%

Draw

3.75

31%

D. La Serena

3.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Universidad de Concepcion xG

Total xG

2.52

1.15

D. La Serena xG

42%
27%
31%
Universidad de ConcepcionDrawD. La Serena

2.38

42%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

3.19

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

32%

Universidad de Concepcion

3.16

25%

D. La Serena

3.96

Win to Nil

13%

Universidad de Concepcion

7.51

8%

D. La Serena

12.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 9.2 5.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 11.0 12.7 7.3 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.6 8.7 5.0 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 3.5 4.0 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.375
λ Away (xG) 1.149
Total xG 2.524
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Universidad de Concepcion attack strength 0.674
Universidad de Concepcion defence strength 0.971
D. La Serena attack strength 0.988
D. La Serena defence strength 1.267
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 45