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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 26 Apr 2026

20:00

Venue

Municipal de Collao

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Colo Colo Win

29%

Universidad de Concepcion

3.47

33%

Draw

3.06

38%

Colo Colo

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

16.4%

Away win

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.81

Universidad de Concepcion xG

Total xG

1.80

0.99

Colo Colo xG

29%
33%
38%
Universidad de ConcepcionDrawColo Colo

3.47

29%

Home win

3.06

33%

Draw

2.60

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.87

65%

BTTS No

1.53

Clean Sheet

37%

Universidad de Concepcion

2.68

44%

Colo Colo

2.25

Win to Nil

11%

Universidad de Concepcion

9.31

17%

Colo Colo

5.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.6 16.4 8.1 2.7 0.7 0.1
1 13.4 13.3 6.5 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 5.4 5.4 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.810
λ Away (xG) 0.987
Total xG 1.797
League avg home goals 1.496
League avg away goals 1.103
Universidad de Concepcion attack strength 0.727
Universidad de Concepcion defence strength 0.983
Colo Colo attack strength 0.910
Colo Colo defence strength 0.744
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 10 / 39