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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 11 Oct 2026

21:00

Venue

TBC

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Universidad de Chile Win

56%

Universidad de Chile

1.79

24%

Draw

4.13

20%

Nublense

4.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

2 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Universidad de Chile xG

Total xG

2.58

0.90

Nublense xG

56%
24%
20%
Universidad de ChileDrawNublense

1.79

56%

Home win

4.13

24%

Draw

4.98

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

41%

Universidad de Chile

2.46

19%

Nublense

5.35

Win to Nil

23%

Universidad de Chile

4.41

4%

Nublense

26.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 6.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
1 12.7 11.5 5.2 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.7 9.6 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 6.0 5.4 2.4 0.7 0.2
4 2.5 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.678
λ Away (xG) 0.900
Total xG 2.578
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Universidad de Chile attack strength 1.070
Universidad de Chile defence strength 0.766
Nublense attack strength 0.981
Nublense defence strength 0.974
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45