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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

23:30

Venue

Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Universidad de Chile Win

44%

Universidad de Chile

2.28

28%

Draw

3.64

29%

Nublense

3.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Universidad de Chile xG

Total xG

2.36

1.02

Nublense xG

44%
28%
29%
Universidad de ChileDrawNublense

2.28

44%

Home win

3.64

28%

Draw

3.50

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

36%

Universidad de Chile

2.78

26%

Nublense

3.81

Win to Nil

16%

Universidad de Chile

6.33

8%

Nublense

13.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 9.7 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 12.6 12.9 6.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.4 8.6 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.8 3.8 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.337
λ Away (xG) 1.022
Total xG 2.359
League avg home goals 1.474
League avg away goals 1.193
Universidad de Chile attack strength 0.985
Universidad de Chile defence strength 0.870
Nublense attack strength 0.985
Nublense defence strength 0.920
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30