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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Thu 17 Apr 2025

23:00

Venue

Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Universidad de Chile Win

71%

Universidad de Chile

1.41

20%

Draw

5.05

9%

D. La Serena

11.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

3 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.29

Universidad de Chile xG

Total xG

3.03

0.74

D. La Serena xG

71%
20%
Universidad de ChileDrawD. La Serena

1.41

71%

Home win

5.05

20%

Draw

11.01

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

48%

Universidad de Chile

2.09

10%

D. La Serena

9.88

Win to Nil

34%

Universidad de Chile

2.94

1%

D. La Serena

108.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.1 8.2 3.0 0.7 0.1
2 12.7 9.4 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 9.7 7.2 2.6 0.6 0.1
4 5.6 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 2.5 1.9 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.291
λ Away (xG) 0.738
Total xG 3.029
League avg home goals 1.510
League avg away goals 1.003
Universidad de Chile attack strength 1.193
Universidad de Chile defence strength 0.817
D. La Serena attack strength 0.901
D. La Serena defence strength 1.271
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 7