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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Mon 4 Aug 2025

23:00

Venue

Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Universidad de Chile Win

67%

Universidad de Chile

1.50

19%

Draw

5.24

14%

Cobresal

7.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.19

Universidad de Chile xG

Total xG

3.08

0.90

Cobresal xG

67%
19%
14%
Universidad de ChileDrawCobresal

1.50

67%

Home win

5.24

19%

Draw

7.04

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

41%

Universidad de Chile

2.45

11%

Cobresal

8.89

Win to Nil

27%

Universidad de Chile

3.68

2%

Cobresal

62.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 4.1 1.8 0.6 0.1
1 10.0 9.0 4.0 1.2 0.3
2 10.9 9.8 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 8.0 7.2 3.2 1.0 0.2
4 4.4 3.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
5 1.9 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.185
λ Away (xG) 0.898
Total xG 3.083
League avg home goals 1.450
League avg away goals 1.072
Universidad de Chile attack strength 1.525
Universidad de Chile defence strength 0.834
Cobresal attack strength 1.003
Cobresal defence strength 0.988
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 46