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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Fri 30 Jan 2026

23:00

Venue

Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Universidad de Chile Win

52%

Universidad de Chile

1.92

22%

Draw

4.50

26%

A. Italiano

3.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.92

Universidad de Chile xG

Total xG

3.21

1.29

A. Italiano xG

52%
22%
26%
Universidad de ChileDrawA. Italiano

1.92

52%

Home win

4.50

22%

Draw

3.89

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

27%

Universidad de Chile

3.64

15%

A. Italiano

6.83

Win to Nil

14%

Universidad de Chile

6.98

4%

A. Italiano

26.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 5.2 3.4 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 7.7 10.0 6.4 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.4 9.6 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.8 6.1 4.0 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 2.3 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.922
λ Away (xG) 1.292
Total xG 3.214
League avg home goals 1.546
League avg away goals 1.157
Universidad de Chile attack strength 1.173
Universidad de Chile defence strength 1.012
A. Italiano attack strength 1.103
A. Italiano defence strength 1.060
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30