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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 17 Aug 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Universidad de Chile Win

74%

Universidad de Chile

1.35

16%

Draw

6.41

10%

A. Italiano

9.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

9.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.53

Universidad de Chile xG

Total xG

3.36

0.83

A. Italiano xG

74%
16%
Universidad de ChileDrawA. Italiano

1.35

74%

Home win

6.41

16%

Draw

9.91

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

44%

Universidad de Chile

2.29

8%

A. Italiano

12.57

Win to Nil

32%

Universidad de Chile

3.08

1%

A. Italiano

124.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 8.8 7.3 3.0 0.8 0.2
2 11.1 9.2 3.8 1.1 0.2
3 9.4 7.8 3.2 0.9 0.2
4 5.9 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.1
5 3.0 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.531
λ Away (xG) 0.828
Total xG 3.359
League avg home goals 1.489
League avg away goals 1.087
Universidad de Chile attack strength 1.456
Universidad de Chile defence strength 0.866
A. Italiano attack strength 0.879
A. Italiano defence strength 1.167
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49