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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Mon 28 Jul 2025

23:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán Nazar

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union La Calera Win

43%

Union La Calera

2.34

28%

Draw

3.63

30%

Universidad de Chile

3.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Union La Calera xG

Total xG

2.38

1.05

Universidad de Chile xG

43%
28%
30%
Union La CaleraDrawUniversidad de Chile

2.34

43%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

3.36

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

35%

Union La Calera

2.87

27%

Universidad de Chile

3.75

Win to Nil

15%

Union La Calera

6.71

8%

Universidad de Chile

12.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 9.8 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 12.3 13.0 6.8 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 8.1 8.6 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.6 3.8 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.321
λ Away (xG) 1.054
Total xG 2.375
League avg home goals 1.490
League avg away goals 1.052
Union La Calera attack strength 0.887
Union La Calera defence strength 0.918
Universidad de Chile attack strength 1.092
Universidad de Chile defence strength 0.999
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46