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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Mon 17 Feb 2025

23:30

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán Nazar

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union La Calera Win

42%

Union La Calera

2.36

26%

Draw

3.80

31%

Union Espanola

3.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Union La Calera xG

Total xG

2.71

1.24

Union Espanola xG

42%
26%
31%
Union La CaleraDrawUnion Espanola

2.36

42%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

3.18

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

29%

Union La Calera

3.44

23%

Union Espanola

4.36

Win to Nil

12%

Union La Calera

8.14

7%

Union Espanola

13.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 8.2 5.1 2.1 0.6 0.2
1 9.8 12.1 7.5 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 7.2 8.9 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.5 4.4 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.473
λ Away (xG) 1.236
Total xG 2.709
League avg home goals 1.568
League avg away goals 1.187
Union La Calera attack strength 0.992
Union La Calera defence strength 1.021
Union Espanola attack strength 1.020
Union Espanola defence strength 0.947
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30