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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 20 Feb 2026

21:00

Venue

Municipal Nicolas Chahuan

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union La Calera Win

52%

Union La Calera

1.94

25%

Draw

3.98

23%

Nublense

4.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Union La Calera xG

Total xG

2.56

0.98

Nublense xG

52%
25%
23%
Union La CaleraDrawNublense

1.94

52%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

4.29

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

38%

Union La Calera

2.66

20%

Nublense

4.89

Win to Nil

19%

Union La Calera

5.16

5%

Nublense

20.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 7.5 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 12.2 11.9 5.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.7 9.5 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.1 5.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.587
λ Away (xG) 0.978
Total xG 2.565
League avg home goals 1.504
League avg away goals 0.962
Union La Calera attack strength 1.056
Union La Calera defence strength 1.039
Nublense attack strength 0.978
Nublense defence strength 0.999
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 33 / 33