Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

00:30

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán Nazar

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union La Calera Win

38%

Union La Calera

2.62

27%

Draw

3.75

35%

Everton de Vina

2.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Union La Calera xG

Total xG

2.55

1.24

Everton de Vina xG

38%
27%
35%
Union La CaleraDrawEverton de Vina

2.62

38%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

2.84

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

29%

Union La Calera

3.47

27%

Everton de Vina

3.70

Win to Nil

11%

Union La Calera

9.08

10%

Everton de Vina

10.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 9.7 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.2 12.7 7.9 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.7 8.3 5.2 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.9 3.6 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.308
λ Away (xG) 1.243
Total xG 2.551
League avg home goals 1.476
League avg away goals 1.108
Union La Calera attack strength 0.790
Union La Calera defence strength 1.184
Everton de Vina attack strength 0.947
Everton de Vina defence strength 1.121
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 51