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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 30 Aug 2026

21:00

Venue

TBC

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Union La Calera Win

54%

Union La Calera

1.86

21%

Draw

4.71

25%

D. La Serena

4.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.2%

Draw

2 – 0

7.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.06

Union La Calera xG

Total xG

3.42

1.35

D. La Serena xG

54%
21%
25%
Union La CaleraDrawD. La Serena

1.86

54%

Home win

4.71

21%

Draw

4.01

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.84

Clean Sheet

26%

Union La Calera

3.87

13%

D. La Serena

7.88

Win to Nil

14%

Union La Calera

7.19

3%

D. La Serena

31.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 4.4 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 6.8 9.2 6.2 2.8 0.9 0.3
2 7.0 9.5 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 4.8 6.5 4.4 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 2.5 3.4 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.064
λ Away (xG) 1.354
Total xG 3.418
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Union La Calera attack strength 1.012
Union La Calera defence strength 1.144
D. La Serena attack strength 0.988
D. La Serena defence strength 1.267
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45