Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

01:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán Nazar

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union La Calera Win

51%

Union La Calera

1.94

28%

Draw

3.61

21%

Coquimbo Unido

4.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

0 – 0

11.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Union La Calera xG

Total xG

2.15

0.77

Coquimbo Unido xG

51%
28%
21%
Union La CaleraDrawCoquimbo Unido

1.94

51%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

4.80

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.49

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

46%

Union La Calera

2.16

25%

Coquimbo Unido

3.99

Win to Nil

24%

Union La Calera

4.19

5%

Coquimbo Unido

19.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.6 8.9 3.4 0.9 0.2
1 16.1 12.4 4.8 1.2 0.2
2 11.1 8.6 3.3 0.8 0.2
3 5.1 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.8 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.384
λ Away (xG) 0.769
Total xG 2.153
League avg home goals 1.564
League avg away goals 0.900
Union La Calera attack strength 1.126
Union La Calera defence strength 0.912
Coquimbo Unido attack strength 0.937
Coquimbo Unido defence strength 0.786
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40