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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Fri 27 Feb 2026

23:30

Venue

Municipal Nicolas Chahuan

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union La Calera Win

43%

Union La Calera

2.35

29%

Draw

3.39

28%

A. Italiano

3.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

12.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Union La Calera xG

Total xG

2.11

0.91

A. Italiano xG

43%
29%
28%
Union La CaleraDrawA. Italiano

2.35

43%

Home win

3.39

29%

Draw

3.58

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

40%

Union La Calera

2.48

30%

A. Italiano

3.31

Win to Nil

17%

Union La Calera

5.83

8%

A. Italiano

11.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.2 11.1 5.0 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 14.6 13.2 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 8.7 7.9 3.6 1.1 0.2
3 3.5 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.197
λ Away (xG) 0.909
Total xG 2.106
League avg home goals 1.422
League avg away goals 0.977
Union La Calera attack strength 0.944
Union La Calera defence strength 1.033
A. Italiano attack strength 0.900
A. Italiano defence strength 0.892
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34