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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Fri 25 Apr 2025

23:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán Nazar

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union La Calera Win

57%

Union La Calera

1.75

24%

Draw

4.21

19%

A. Italiano

5.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.93

Union La Calera xG

Total xG

2.98

1.05

A. Italiano xG

57%
24%
19%
Union La CaleraDrawA. Italiano

1.75

57%

Home win

4.21

24%

Draw

5.20

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

35%

Union La Calera

2.85

15%

A. Italiano

6.88

Win to Nil

20%

Union La Calera

5.00

3%

A. Italiano

35.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 5.3 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 9.8 10.3 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.1 6.4 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.9 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.1
5 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.929
λ Away (xG) 1.047
Total xG 2.976
League avg home goals 1.470
League avg away goals 0.961
Union La Calera attack strength 1.249
Union La Calera defence strength 0.976
A. Italiano attack strength 1.117
A. Italiano defence strength 1.051
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38