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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 5 Jul 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Universidad de Chile Win

35%

Union Espanola

2.86

27%

Draw

3.77

38%

Universidad de Chile

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Union Espanola xG

Total xG

2.58

1.32

Universidad de Chile xG

35%
27%
38%
Union EspanolaDrawUniversidad de Chile

2.86

35%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

2.60

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

27%

Union Espanola

3.76

29%

Universidad de Chile

3.49

Win to Nil

9%

Union Espanola

10.75

11%

Universidad de Chile

9.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 10.1 6.7 2.9 1.0 0.3
1 9.5 12.6 8.4 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 6.0 7.9 5.2 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 2.5 3.3 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.251
λ Away (xG) 1.325
Total xG 2.576
League avg home goals 1.516
League avg away goals 1.052
Union Espanola attack strength 0.770
Union Espanola defence strength 1.336
Universidad de Chile attack strength 0.943
Universidad de Chile defence strength 1.072
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 43